Future Uncertainty in Transport – Understanding and Responding to an Evolving Society

CIHT FUTURES explores the implications of different future scenarios for transport policy and practice. It is engaging members around the UK, drawing on the diversity of their geographical, professional and personal characteristics.

In recent years, traditional assumptions about population, prosperity and traffic growth have been challenged. Experts are uncertain over the extent to which recent trends reflect fundamental underlying changes. Recognising the limitations of traditional quantitative forecasting techniques in unpredictable times, the FUTURES project draws upon scenario planning as a technique to explore critical variables shaping transport choices, divergent alternative future possibilities and the consequences for policymaking.

CIHT members’ input has been central to the FUTURES project with over 200 members particpating in workshops held across the UK. Their insights were gathered and have helped shape the report (due to be finalised shortly, as of March 2016).  The emerging conclusions are here.

For more about the CIHT FUTURES project, and to contribute directly, please browse the linked pages, or contact the project team.

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CIHT FUTURES is supported by JMP Consultants Ltd